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France is to elect a new president in a year. Because the nation’s political situation is extremely dynamic, opinion polls are being followed more closely than ever before. While it is too early to know whether French President Emmanuel Macron will defend his position, the intermediate picture is also interesting. The survey results are a good indication of how much France has changed in the 21st century.
The latest survey by the IFOP agency also included Éric Zemmour, a right-wing intellectual who is yet to announce whether he will run. Zemmour would receive 5.5 percent of the vote in the first round, slightly more than the far left Socialist candidate, the well-known Parisian Mayor Anne Hidalgo.
Green candidate Yannick Jadot would receive the same percentage as Zemmour, and Communist Jean-Luc Mélenchon would allegedly reach 9 percent. Thus, the ratio between the left and the right is about 20:80, especially if we do not assess leftism and rightism from a cultural and identity-related point of view that are important to the French.
Roughly speaking, only a fifth of French voter would vote for a candidate representing a multicultural approach to society. Interestingly, the figure of 20% is approximately the non-European mostly Islamic population of France so no surprises there as turkeys don’t vote for Christmas.
In France, too, a change of course took place, with the anti-White working Class leftist parties adopting post-modern ‘woke’ topics such as gender, migration, multiculturalism, and changing all possible constants in life (language, road signs) in the name of even greater inclusiveness.
Unlike the United States, however, this brought the local left to the brink of an abyss. The French political background is different, and the original French population does not suffer from such a strong sense of inadequacy because of their alleged past sins. However, the difference in development is also strengthened by the unstable nature of the French economy.
In the end, most of those postmodern demands can be reduced to the ‘give us the money,’ culture, which again is mostly non-Ethnic European. Sadly, for the migrants the French state treasury, and even taxpayers, do not have that much money to give away.
The French majority two-round system is anti-democratically perfected to favour the status quo. The crooked system is not a level playing field: This means challengers have a hard time as they have to earn more than half of the country’s votes to win.
A quickly assembled coalition of other parties, whose sole purpose is to block someone’s path to power, can act as a very effective brake. The bent as a dog’s back leg system, which has been hailed in Europe for years as a guarantor of maintaining centralised politics, will work exactly the opposite.
After Great Britain left the EU, there were only two really strong countries left: France and Germany. So far, Germany’s ideas revolve mainly around environmental issues, whose main proponents, the Greens, do not hide their positive attitude towards multiculturalism.
However, France is increasingly focused on the issue of its future identity and has moved strongly to the right in these matters. Even if Macron wins the election next year, he will have to pursue a policy not unlike the one Le Pen promotes. An abysmal difference between Germany and France will likely manifest itself in a certain continental paralysis.
Title image: French writer, politician and journalist Eric Zemmour speaks at the Convention of the Right, in Paris, Saturday, Sept. 28, 2019. The Convention of the Right, a first ever gathering of rebel representatives of the mainstream right and the far right. Among their goals is to defeat the ‘progressives’ of centrist President Emmanuel Macron. (AP Photo/Michel Euler)
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