STORY FEE DONATED BY PENSIONER DAGMAR: Ongoing events are relentlessly driving change across the 27 member states of the European Union. As Western Europe enters a period of uncertainty, record inflation, endemic shortages and trade isolation, it is inevitable that there will be a falling out of the ranks among the member nations.

Whilst the 446 million citizens of the European Union mostly oppose anti-Russian sanctions the more dogmatic heads of state and ‘on message’ EU governments favour solidarity – the one exception being Hungary. But others are getting ready to follow the lead of this former colony of the Soviet Bloc.

Given the background of Prime Minister Victor Orbán, it is hardly surprising that the alliance’s most popular leader is resolute in his determination to defy dictates imposed by Washington DC, Moscow or Brussels.

One can be certain that the ultra-conservative prime minister of a homogenous nation boasting Europe’s most buoyant economy endorses the words uttered by his nation’s former occupiers. Victor Orbán will be under no illusions: the controlled collapse of the Soviet Union in 1990 signalled a transfer of totalitarian power from the East to the West.

‘Why is the EU trying to recreate the USSR,’ asked the bemused Mikhail Gorbachev. The former Soviet leader’s perplexity was echoed by Komsomol Pravda journalist Zahar Prilepin who opined, ‘The EU in the worst sense of the word is very much the new USSR.’

This overview is borne out by inescapable facts: The fake Cold War served the war economies of the West whilst providing the Soviet leadership with a bogeyman that unified the most diverse nation on earth.

The estrangement between Washington and the USSR was an almost imperceptible gradual process that can be traced back to the murder of Josef Stalin in 1953. The then Soviet leadership was assumed first by Nikita Khrushchev then followed by Leonid Brezhnev. Ironically both Soviet leaders were of Ukrainian birth and nationality.

After a 10-year period of uncertainty, the divorce proceedings between Moscow and Washington were finalised in 1999 when Vladimir Putin, an ex-KGB intelligence officer, became president of the Federation of Russia.

Victor Orbán will recall events leading up to those cataclysmic events. The Fidesz Party leader born in 1963 had been a constant thorn in the side of his country’s Soviet occupiers.

As a twenty-year-old student heading the reformist student movement (Alliance of Young Democrats), the defiant Orbán was regularly arrested and gaoled by the KGB for his seditiousness. He first came to international attention after he delivered a stirring speech on the occasion of the reinternment of Imre Nagy and other martyrs of the 1956 uprising against Soviet rule.

Been there and got the tee shirt. Having confronted and humbled Soviet hegemony, Orbán is better placed than most to challenge the dictates of the EU’s two unelected presidents and their 27 commissioners: the Europe Union parliament of 705 MEPs have only an advisory role.

Having defiantly repulsed Brussels dictates that he reforms the judiciary, and lifts restrictions on the promotion of gay propaganda he then inked a 10-year fixed price sanctions-busting fossil fuel energy deal with Russia. In a spirit of tit-for-tat Brussels summarily denied Hungary’s receipt of the EU Recovery Fund intended to compensate the nations of Europe for the costs of the Covid pandemic.

For his impertinence, Orbán was demonised by liberal media and suffered threats and sanctions imposed by his indignant adversaries in Brussels. The former cellmate of anti-communist revolutionaries was unmoved.

Disconcertingly, the Hungarian rebel’s steadfastness and his success in all fields of government are noted by the conservative right. America’s Chuck Norris and conversely President Putin pressed the flesh with Orbán as did the most prominent leaders of Europe’s far-right and conservative parties. Increasingly, the four times elected Hungarian populist now earns the grudging respect of increasing numbers of EU heads of state.

Is this going somewhere? Yes, suffering growing public hostility caused by sanctions blowback the Brussels clique of presidents and commissionaires are desperately trying to maintain a semblance of solidarity with its charges. The writing, however, is on the wall.

Over the next 24 months, one can expect to see seismic change on an epic scale in both Europe and the United States. This will be on a level equal to or even surpassing that of the collapse of the Soviet Union.

If such a prophecy is to materialise one can expect to see a reformed assembly of European nations led by a no-nonsense leader who can demonstrate the same resolute determination and experience as that of Russian President Vladimir Putin. As it happens, both Putin and Orbán are firm friends and thereby lies the answer as to who qualifies to lead Europe out of the chaos of collapse. 

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